Alliance vs SINNERS — match prediction & analysis
On paper this is lopsided: Alliance sit 26 places above SINNERS in the world ranking. Those gaps close more often than people expect, so here is what the numbers say once form, head-to-head and the map pool get a vote.
Alliance come in ranked #21 in the world, SINNERS #47.
Alliance
✅ Ancient strength: 75% winrate over 8 maps is a strong tactical pick
✅ Reliably steers the veto to Inferno (100% pick rate)
❌ Practically never plays Mirage (100% banned), reducing veto flexibility
❌ Weak head-to-head (43% versus SINNERS) undermines matchup confidence
SINNERS
✅ Dust2 strength: 69% winrate over 16 maps is a strong tactical pick
✅ Reliably steers the veto to Dust2 (63% pick rate)
✅ Head-to-head edge: 57% versus Alliance historically gives veto and psychological advantage
❌ Only 42% winrate on Cache over 12 maps — exploitable in the veto
❌ Practically never plays Anubis (96% banned), reducing veto flexibility
Recent form
Head to head
Alliance and SINNERS have met 7 times in the period we track — Alliance 3, SINNERS 4.
The map pool
Win, pick and ban rates over the last three months. This is where a series is often decided before it starts — a team can steer the veto onto a map the opponent rarely plays.
The maps
Our picks
Line-ups
Alliance
upE0.95
bobeksde1.12
avid0.93
eraa1.10
twist0.99
SINNERS
SHOCK1.03
MoDo1.09
kisserek1.05
beastik0.93
stressarN1.12
More on these teams
All Alliance predictions and results
All SINNERS predictions and results
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Statistical model estimates, published for entertainment. Match data: HLTV.org.