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Match preview · 1win Private Club Season 2

Alliance vs PRIVATE — match prediction & analysis

20 October at 11:00 Oslo · by the CS Edge model

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PRIVATE arrive in far better shape than Alliance — the recent results are not close. Form is the loudest signal in CS2 and the easiest to over-read, so it is one input here, not the answer.

Alliance come in ranked #29 in the world, PRIVATE #63.

Our call publishes before kickoff. Free on csedge.io — premium members get every call up front.

Alliance

✅ Ancient strength: 60% winrate over 5 maps is a strong tactical pick

✅ Reliably steers the veto to Inferno (100% pick rate)

❌ Only 0% winrate on Dust2 over 5 maps — exploitable in the veto

❌ Practically never plays Mirage (92% banned), reducing veto flexibility

❌ Form slump: 8 losses in last 12 points to recent inconsistency

PRIVATE

✅ Mirage strength: 75% winrate over 16 maps is a strong tactical pick

✅ Reliably steers the veto to Mirage (74% pick rate)

✅ Strong recent form: 8 wins in last 12 (67%) shows momentum

❌ Only 21% winrate on Cache over 14 maps — exploitable in the veto

❌ Heavy Inferno ban usage (81% bans) limits their map bargaining

Recent form

AllianceLLLWL1 of 5 won
PRIVATELWWLW3 of 5 won

The map pool

Win, pick and ban rates over the last three months. This is where a series is often decided before it starts — a team can steer the veto onto a map the opponent rarely plays.

AlliancePRIVATE
0%4 maps Cache 21%14 maps
0%5 maps Dust2 71%14 maps
-0 maps Mirage 75%16 maps
40%10 maps Inferno -0 maps
-2 maps Nuke 33%9 maps
60%5 maps Ancient 69%13 maps
-0 maps Anubis 75%4 maps

The maps

The veto isn't done yet — map picks land right before kickoff, and this page updates automatically.

Our picks

Per-map picks publish automatically the moment the map veto is done.

Line-ups

Player rating: ★ top · high · average · low

Alliance
upE upE0.89
bobeksde bobeksde1.05
avid avid0.82
★ eraa eraa1.10
twist twist0.95
PRIVATE
1eeR 1eeR1.01
sowalio sowalio1.07
sh1nejezzz sh1nejezzz1.08
★ H4SAN4TOR H4SAN4TOR1.14
z1k4 z1k41.07

More on these teams

All Alliance predictions and results
All PRIVATE predictions and results

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Statistical model estimates, published for entertainment. Match data: HLTV.org.