1win vs Liquid at Esports World Cup 2026 Open Qualifier is the kind of match that looks obvious until you check the map pool. Here is what our model weighs before it commits to a call.
✅ Dust2 strength: 76% winrate over 21 maps is a strong tactical pick
✅ Reliably steers the veto to Dust2 (47% pick rate)
✅ Strong recent form: 16 wins in last 26 (63%) shows momentum
❌ Only 40% winrate on Anubis over 10 maps — exploitable in the veto
❌ Heavy Nuke ban usage (86% bans) limits their map bargaining
✅ Anubis strength: 67% winrate over 9 maps is a strong tactical pick
✅ Reliably steers the veto to Anubis (50% pick rate)
✅ Strong recent form: 11 wins in last 20 (65%) shows momentum
❌ Only 25% winrate on Dust2 over 8 maps — exploitable in the veto
❌ Heavy Ancient ban usage (56% bans) limits their map bargaining
Win, pick and ban rates over the last three months. This is where a series is often decided before it starts — a team can steer the veto onto a map the opponent rarely plays.
Dust2 — 1win's pick
Anubis — Liquid's pick
Cache — the decider
All 1win predictions and results
All Liquid predictions and results
Statistical model estimates, published for entertainment. Match data: HLTV.org.