100 Thieves vs Wildcard at FiRe Last Chance 2026 is the kind of match that looks obvious until you check the map pool. Here is what our model weighs before it commits to a call.
100 Thieves come in ranked #35 in the world, Wildcard #47.
✅ Dust2 strength: 94% winrate over 18 maps is a strong tactical pick
✅ Reliably steers the veto to Dust2 (81% pick rate)
✅ Strong recent form: 24 wins in last 34 (74%) shows momentum
❌ Heavy Cache ban usage (68% bans) limits their map bargaining
✅ Nuke strength: 75% winrate over 12 maps is a strong tactical pick
✅ Reliably steers the veto to Inferno (65% pick rate)
✅ Strong recent form: 14 wins in last 23 (68%) shows momentum
❌ Only 38% winrate on Mirage over 13 maps — exploitable in the veto
❌ Practically never plays Ancient (100% banned), reducing veto flexibility
Win, pick and ban rates over the last three months. This is where a series is often decided before it starts — a team can steer the veto onto a map the opponent rarely plays.
Cache — Wildcard's pick
Dust2 — 100 Thieves's pick
Mirage — the decider
🎯 100 Thieves to win Dust2
100 Thieves
sirah1.06
rain1.13
device1.12
Gizmy1.04
poiii1.18
Wildcard
Cxzi0.99
reck1.02
HexT1.06
nEMANHA1.02
fr3nd1.07
All 100 Thieves predictions and results
All Wildcard predictions and results
Statistical model estimates, published for entertainment. Match data: HLTV.org.