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Match preview · FiRe Last Chance 2026

100 Thieves vs Wildcard — match prediction & analysis

1 November at 21:30 Oslo · by the CS Edge model

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100 Thieves vs Wildcard at FiRe Last Chance 2026 is the kind of match that looks obvious until you check the map pool. Here is what our model weighs before it commits to a call.

100 Thieves come in ranked #35 in the world, Wildcard #47.

Our call: 100 Thieves to win — 69% (a medium-risk pick)

100 Thieves

✅ Dust2 strength: 94% winrate over 18 maps is a strong tactical pick

✅ Reliably steers the veto to Dust2 (81% pick rate)

✅ Strong recent form: 24 wins in last 34 (74%) shows momentum

❌ Heavy Cache ban usage (68% bans) limits their map bargaining

Wildcard

✅ Nuke strength: 75% winrate over 12 maps is a strong tactical pick

✅ Reliably steers the veto to Inferno (65% pick rate)

✅ Strong recent form: 14 wins in last 23 (68%) shows momentum

❌ Only 38% winrate on Mirage over 13 maps — exploitable in the veto

❌ Practically never plays Ancient (100% banned), reducing veto flexibility

Recent form

100 ThievesWWWWL4 of 5 won
WildcardWWWLW4 of 5 won

The map pool

Win, pick and ban rates over the last three months. This is where a series is often decided before it starts — a team can steer the veto onto a map the opponent rarely plays.

100 ThievesWildcard
67%3 maps Cache 67%6 maps
94%18 maps Dust2 50%4 maps
64%11 maps Mirage 38%13 maps
50%8 maps Inferno 53%15 maps
64%11 maps Nuke 75%12 maps
58%12 maps Ancient -0 maps
57%7 maps Anubis -2 maps

The maps

Cache — Wildcard's pick

Dust2 — 100 Thieves's pick

Mirage — the decider

Our picks

🎯 100 Thieves to win Dust2

Line-ups

Player rating: ★ top · high · average · low

100 Thieves
sirah sirah1.06
rain rain1.13
device device1.12
Gizmy Gizmy1.04
★ poiii poiii1.18
Wildcard
Cxzi Cxzi0.99
reck reck1.02
HexT HexT1.06
nEMANHA nEMANHA1.02
★ fr3nd fr3nd1.07

More on these teams

All 100 Thieves predictions and results
All Wildcard predictions and results

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Statistical model estimates, published for entertainment. Match data: HLTV.org.