Match preview · Stake Pulse Beat III

100 Thieves vs Sangal — match prediction & analysis

16 October at 19:00 Oslo · by the CS Edge model

Some matches you feel, some you count. For 100 Thieves vs Sangal at Stake Pulse Beat III we did the counting: world ranking, three months of form, head-to-head and every map either team can realistically play.

Our call: 100 Thieves to win — 55% (a high-risk pick)

How it ended

100 Thieves won 2–0. ✅ Our call was right — we said 100 Thieves at 55%.

TBA — –

100 Thieves

✅ Dust2 strength: 86% winrate over 14 maps is a strong tactical pick

✅ Reliably steers the veto to Dust2 (65% pick rate)

✅ Strong recent form: 20 wins in last 31 (70%) shows momentum

❌ Heavy Cache ban usage (72% bans) limits their map bargaining

Sangal

✅ Nuke strength: 86% winrate over 14 maps is a strong tactical pick

✅ Reliably steers the veto to Nuke (64% pick rate)

✅ Strong recent form: 24 wins in last 36 (69%) shows momentum

❌ Heavy Inferno ban usage (89% bans) limits their map bargaining

The map pool

Win, pick and ban rates over the last three months. This is where a series is often decided before it starts — a team can steer the veto onto a map the opponent rarely plays.

100 ThievesSangal

67%3 maps Cache 73%15 maps

86%14 maps Dust2 45%11 maps

70%10 maps Mirage 55%11 maps

56%9 maps Inferno -0 maps

50%10 maps Nuke 86%14 maps

55%11 maps Ancient 43%7 maps

50%10 maps Anubis 64%11 maps

The maps

The veto isn't done yet — map picks land right before kickoff, and this page updates automatically.

Our picks

Per-map picks publish automatically the moment the map veto is done.

More on these teams

All 100 Thieves predictions and results
All Sangal predictions and results

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Statistical model estimates, published for entertainment. Match data: HLTV.org.