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Match preview · Stake Pulse Beat III

100 Thieves vs Liquid — match prediction & analysis

13 October at 15:20 Oslo · by the CS Edge model

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Liquid arrive in far better shape than 100 Thieves — the recent results are not close. Form is the loudest signal in CS2 and the easiest to over-read, so it is one input here, not the answer.

100 Thieves come in ranked #37 in the world, Liquid #27.

Our call: Liquid to win — 60% (a high-risk pick)

100 Thieves

✅ Dust2 strength: 86% winrate over 14 maps is a strong tactical pick

✅ Reliably steers the veto to Dust2 (62% pick rate)

✅ Strong recent form: 19 wins in last 30 (68%) shows momentum

❌ Heavy Cache ban usage (74% bans) limits their map bargaining

Liquid

✅ Inferno strength: 100% winrate over 6 maps is a strong tactical pick

✅ Reliably steers the veto to Anubis (69% pick rate)

✅ Strong recent form: 18 wins in last 25 (74%) shows momentum

❌ Only 38% winrate on Dust2 over 8 maps — exploitable in the veto

❌ Practically never plays Ancient (92% banned), reducing veto flexibility

Recent form

100 ThievesWLWLW3 of 5 won
LiquidWWWWW5 of 5 won

The map pool

Win, pick and ban rates over the last three months. This is where a series is often decided before it starts — a team can steer the veto onto a map the opponent rarely plays.

100 ThievesLiquid
86%14 maps Dust2 38%8 maps
56%9 maps Inferno 100%6 maps
67%9 maps Mirage 86%7 maps
67%3 maps Cache 70%10 maps
50%10 maps Nuke 58%12 maps
55%11 maps Ancient -1 maps
50%10 maps Anubis 75%12 maps

The maps

Dust2 — 100 Thieves's pick

Inferno — Liquid's pick

Mirage — the decider

Our picks

🎯 Series — Liquid to win 2-1

🎯 Liquid to win Inferno

Line-ups

Player rating: ★ top · high · average · low

100 Thieves
sirah sirah1.05
rain rain1.13
device device1.08
Gizmy Gizmy1.00
★ poiii poiii1.15
Liquid
Jorko Jorko1.09
malbsMd malbsMd1.11
NAF NAF1.15
★ EliGE EliGE1.26
JT JT0.99

More on these teams

All 100 Thieves predictions and results
All Liquid predictions and results

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Statistical model estimates, published for entertainment. Match data: HLTV.org.