100 Thieves vs Lilmix — match prediction & analysis
On paper this is lopsided: 100 Thieves sit 208 places above Lilmix in the world ranking. Those gaps close more often than people expect, so here is what the numbers say once form, head-to-head and the map pool get a vote.
100 Thieves come in ranked #32 in the world, Lilmix #240.
100 Thieves
✅ Dust2 strength: 80% winrate over 10 maps is a strong tactical pick
✅ Reliably steers the veto to Dust2 (54% pick rate)
✅ Strong recent form: 13 wins in last 22 (63%) shows momentum
❌ Only 38% winrate on Ancient over 8 maps — exploitable in the veto
❌ Heavy Cache ban usage (76% bans) limits their map bargaining
Lilmix
✅ Reliably steers the veto to Ancient (100% pick rate)
❌ Practically never plays Nuke (100% banned), reducing veto flexibility
❌ Form slump: 7 losses in last 7 points to recent inconsistency
Recent form
The map pool
Win, pick and ban rates over the last three months. This is where a series is often decided before it starts — a team can steer the veto onto a map the opponent rarely plays.
The maps
Our picks
Line-ups
100 Thieves
device1.03
rain1.13
Gizmy1.01
poiii1.10
sirah1.04
Lilmix
p1ke0.80
macke0.91
chucker0.91
Wonder0.87
Tqezo0.71
More on these teams
All 100 Thieves predictions and results
All Lilmix predictions and results
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Statistical model estimates, published for entertainment. Match data: HLTV.org.