Barely anything separates these two in the ranking, and that is usually where a series is decided in the veto rather than on aim. We looked at which maps each side can actually steer to.
100 Thieves come in ranked #37 in the world, HEROIC #34.
✅ Dust2 strength: 78% winrate over 9 maps is a strong tactical pick
✅ Reliably steers the veto to Dust2 (50% pick rate)
✅ Strong recent form: 13 wins in last 21 (68%) shows momentum
❌ Heavy Cache ban usage (75% bans) limits their map bargaining
❌ Weak head-to-head (33% versus HEROIC) undermines matchup confidence
✅ Inferno strength: 77% winrate over 13 maps is a strong tactical pick
✅ Reliably steers the veto to Inferno (55% pick rate)
✅ Strong recent form: 23 wins in last 30 (80%) shows momentum
❌ Heavy Anubis ban usage (88% bans) limits their map bargaining
100 Thieves and HEROIC have met 3 times in the period we track — 100 Thieves 1, HEROIC 2.
Win, pick and ban rates over the last three months. This is where a series is often decided before it starts — a team can steer the veto onto a map the opponent rarely plays.
Dust2 — 100 Thieves's pick
Ancient — HEROIC's pick
Inferno — the decider
100 Thieves
device1.04
rain1.13
Gizmy1.02
poiii1.10
sirah1.04
HEROIC
Brollan1.13
MartinezSa1.14
nilo1.17
Chr1zN1.10
susp1.05
All 100 Thieves predictions and results
All HEROIC predictions and results
Statistical model estimates, published for entertainment. Match data: HLTV.org.