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Match preview · Stake Pulse Beat II

100 Thieves vs Astralis — match prediction & analysis

26 September at 12:00 Oslo · by the CS Edge model

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On paper this is lopsided: Astralis sit 26 places above 100 Thieves in the world ranking. Those gaps close more often than people expect, so here is what the numbers say once form, head-to-head and the map pool get a vote.

100 Thieves come in ranked #37 in the world, Astralis #11.

Our call publishes before kickoff. Free on csedge.io — premium members get every call up front.

100 Thieves

✅ Dust2 strength: 78% winrate over 9 maps is a strong tactical pick

✅ Reliably steers the veto to Dust2 (50% pick rate)

✅ Strong recent form: 12 wins in last 20 (65%) shows momentum

❌ Heavy Cache ban usage (74% bans) limits their map bargaining

Astralis

✅ Cache strength: 75% winrate over 8 maps is a strong tactical pick

✅ Reliably steers the veto to Ancient (87% pick rate)

✅ Strong recent form: 10 wins in last 17 (62%) shows momentum

❌ Only 0% winrate on Dust2 over 5 maps — exploitable in the veto

❌ Heavy Anubis ban usage (74% bans) limits their map bargaining

Recent form

100 ThievesWWWLW4 of 5 won
AstralisWWWLL3 of 5 won

The map pool

Win, pick and ban rates over the last three months. This is where a series is often decided before it starts — a team can steer the veto onto a map the opponent rarely plays.

100 ThievesAstralis
-1 maps Cache 75%8 maps
78%9 maps Dust2 0%5 maps
75%8 maps Mirage 33%3 maps
67%6 maps Inferno 50%6 maps
44%9 maps Nuke 29%7 maps
50%6 maps Ancient 71%14 maps
43%7 maps Anubis -1 maps

The maps

The veto isn't done yet — map picks land right before kickoff, and this page updates automatically.

Our picks

🔒 1 pick for this match — unlocked for premium members on csedge.io (today's featured match is free for everyone).

Line-ups

Player rating: ★ top · high · average · low

100 Thieves
device device1.04
rain rain1.11
Gizmy Gizmy1.02
★ poiii poiii1.12
sirah sirah1.04
Astralis
phzy phzy1.05
HooXi HooXi0.90
jabbi jabbi1.07
★ Staehr Staehr1.18
ryu ryu1.09

More on these teams

All 100 Thieves predictions and results
All Astralis predictions and results

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Statistical model estimates, published for entertainment. Match data: HLTV.org.